The entire 2026 NFL schedule is officially out, which means sportsbooks have wasted no time posting regular-season win totals for all 32 teams.
While blockbuster free-agent signings and NFL Draft decisions often drive movement in the market, strength of schedule is once again expected to play a major role in shaping the betting landscape this fall.
According to FOX Sports’ projected schedule difficulty, the Chicago Bears, Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers have the toughest schedules in the league. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Browns, Cincinnati Bengals and New Orleans Saints have the easiest road ahead.Â
The Denver Broncos, New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks led the league with 14 wins last year, but oddsmakers aren’t buying a sequel.
Which teams are projected to win the most games this year? And which teams might fall short of their expected win totals?
Lets dive into the win totals at DraftKings Sportsbook as of May 18.Â
Arizona Cardinals
Over 4.5: +125 (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)
Under 4.5: -150 (bet $10 to win $16.67 total)
What to know: The Cardinals won just three games in 2025 and lost their final nine games of the season. Arizona drafted RB Jeremiyah Love as an explosive weapon who could help improve the offense, but the defense remains a major concern. Combined with the NFLs fourth-hardest schedule, its no surprise their win total is set very low.
Atlanta Falcons
Over 6.5: -120 (bet $10 to win $18.33 total)
Under 6.5: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
What to know: The Falcons won eight games in 2025 and closed the season on a four-game winning streak. Despite that momentum, Atlanta enters 2026 with a relatively low win total under new head coach Kevin Stefanski and with Tua Tagovailoa currently favored to start at quarterback.
Baltimore Ravens
Over 11.5: +115 (bet $10 to win $21.50 total)
Under 11.5: -140 (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
What to know: The Ravens won only eight games in 2025, but much of that was due to Lamar Jackson missing four games while also dealing with injuries for most of the season. After parting ways with John Harbaugh after 18 seasons, Baltimore hired Jesse Minter as its new head coach and made a major splash in free agency by signing Trey Hendrickson.
Buffalo Bills
Over 10.5: -125 (bet $10 to win $18 total)
Under 10.5: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
What to know: The Bills have gone over their win total of 10.5 in each of the last six seasons. After firing Sean McDermott this offseason, Buffalo promoted offensive coordinator Joe Brady to head coach while also trading for DJ Moore and signing Bradley Chubb.
Carolina Panthers
Over 7.5: +110 (bet $10 to win $21 total)
Under 7.5: -130 (bet $10 to win $17.69 total)
What to know: The Panthers won the NFC South last season with just eight wins. Coming off its first playoff appearance since 2017, Carolina significantly upgraded its defense with the additions of Jaelan Phillips and Devin Lloyd.
Chicago Bears
Over 9.5: +100 (bet $10 to win $20 total)
Under 9.5: -120 (bet $10 to win $18.33 total)
What to know: The Bears won 11 games and the NFC North in Ben Johnson’s first season in Chicago, but they are set to face the NFLs toughest schedule in 2026. That, combined with several key defensive departures and the unexpected retirement of center Drew Dalman, has lowered their win total entering the season.
Cincinnati Bengals
Over 9.5: -140 (bet $10 to win $17.14 total)
Under 9.5: +115 (bet $10 to win $21.50 total)
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